Palm Slipping Out of Hand (Oct. 1-14)


Palm’s once dominant status in the handheld market has taken a further beating with its recently announced $259 million quarterly loss and corresponding 20% decline in sales. The former Wall Street darling that once had a market cap greater than Ford Motor Company now has been reduced to a penny stock, bumped from the S&P 500 list, and plagued with nearly $500 million in losses over the last six quarters. The company is desperately hoping a reverse stock split will reassure investors of the value of Palm equity – sounds kind of like Liz Taylor trying to bring back the golden years by applying a little makeup.

Palm is now betting on a two-tiered brand strategy, with its entry-level Zire brand and an enterprise Tungsten line to help it break even this quarter. A risky bet indeed – the company needs to convince consumers of the relevance of Zire and simultaneously overcome the doubts that its Tungsten products can't hack it in the enterprise market. Palm’s history of excess inventory problems and product delays, along with serious competition from both ends of the market, spells trouble.

Palm is quickly losing its market dominance to Microsoft-powered devices, especially in the enterprise. "[Palm] needs to demonstrate that it’s got the real-time ability to multitask and until it’s proven, I think it’s going to be a stretch for the enterprise," said Paul Coster, an analyst with J.P. Morgan. HP and others such as Blackberry-maker RIM have gained significant strongholds in IT departments of large corporations, and Sony and others are nipping at the heels of Palm’s consumer business. "While Palm once held promise of becoming the Microsoft of handheld computing, it may have to settle for becoming the Apple Computer Corp., as Microsoft replicates its dominance in the PC world," said Charles Golvin, an analyst with Forrester Research.
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